What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Michael Shannon be on the list of nominees for Movie/Limited Actor at the 78th Emmy Awards?

Michael Shannon

Closes Jul 08, 2027 (386d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 524 Event Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

18%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 2 days · High 21% · Low 19%

Other outcomes in this event

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