What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Heidi Overton

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (925d) 24h volume 39 Open interest 1.2K Event Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

42%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 78% · Low 30% · 7d -61.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.