What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 25%, implying a 25% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Nicole Saphier

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (925d) 24h volume 39 Open interest 127 Event Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

25%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 11% · Low 2% · 7d -42.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.