What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 18 million

Closes Jul 23, 2026 (36d) 24h volume 47 Open interest 1.2K Event FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4

12%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 15% · Low 5% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.