What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting?

Fed maintains rate

Closes Jun 17, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 2.9M Open interest 9.4M Event Fed decision in Jun 2026?

100%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 99% · Low 83% · 7d +1.0pp · 30d +2.1pp

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 100% probability that the Federal Reserve will hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting. This assessment is based on known facts such as the Fed's recent inflation concerns and its tendency to adjust interest rates in response to economic conditions. The current price of 0.99 suggests that market participants are confident in this outcome, with no significant uncertainty or doubt about the likelihood of a rate hike. Any new information that could impact the Fed's decision-making process, such as changes in inflation data or economic indicators, would likely cause the YES price to fluctuate. Conversely, if there were signs of a slowing economy or decreased inflationary pressures, the market might adjust its expectations and drive the price down.

Generated Jun 17, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size		Ask	Size
99.0¢	1637201
98.0¢	421435
97.0¢	1000
96.0¢	1143
95.0¢	22

Spread 0.0¢ · Mid 0.0¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.