What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Renovation

Closes Jul 30, 2026 (20d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 113 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?

implied YES probability

-22.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 27% · Low 27%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.