What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Volatility

Closes Jul 30, 2026 (20d) 24h volume 115 Open interest 105 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?

18%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 25% · Low 25%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.