What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Before 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 3.4K Event Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027?

68%

implied YES probability

+32.0pp 24h

Last 23 days · High 87% · Low 9% · 7d +100.0pp

NVDA Nvidia Corp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.