kalshi
Politics
Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026?
Above 175
24%
implied YES probability
-14.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 3 days ·
High 57% ·
Low 36%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz slows after Iranian attacks trigger renewed fighting with U.S.
CNBC Top News · 7h ago
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Seeking Alpha · 6h ago
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Strait of Hormuz shipping slows to near standstill after latest attacks
Seeking Alpha · 6h ago
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Oman Tells UN It’s Against Imposing Transit Fees in Hormuz
Bloomberg Markets · 9h ago
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How Likely Is a Recession in 2026? Experts Say There's Good and Bad News for Investors.
Motley Fool · 10h ago
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.0¢ | 16 | 28.0¢ | 1 | |
| 25.0¢ | 400 | 31.0¢ | 89 | |
| 21.0¢ | 241 | 32.0¢ | 293 | |
| 20.0¢ | 800 | 35.0¢ | 32 | |
| 18.0¢ | 10 | 37.0¢ | 300 |
Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 27.0¢
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