kalshi
Politics
Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026?
Above 200
12%
implied YES probability
+7.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 3 days ·
High 32% ·
Low 14%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz slows after Iranian attacks trigger renewed fighting with U.S.
CNBC Top News · 5h ago
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Seeking Alpha · 4h ago
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Strait of Hormuz shipping slows to near standstill after latest attacks
Seeking Alpha · 4h ago
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Oman Tells UN It’s Against Imposing Transit Fees in Hormuz
Bloomberg Markets · 7h ago
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How Likely Is a Recession in 2026? Experts Say There's Good and Bad News for Investors.
Motley Fool · 8h ago
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