What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 77%, implying a 77% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

At least 220,000

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 220 Open interest 3.3K Event Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13, 2026

77%

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 80% · Low 65%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.