What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

At least 230,000

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 5.0K Open interest 5.7K Event Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13, 2026

32%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 59% · Low 30%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.