What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 99%, implying a 99% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Gustavo Petro

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 41.1K Event Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

99%

implied YES probability

+2.7pp 24h

Last 40 days · High 99% · Low 94% · 7d -0.9pp · 30d -0.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.