What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 23%, implying a 23% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Dec 1, 2026

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (144d) 24h volume 65 Open interest 8.9K Event Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

23%

implied YES probability

+14.0pp 24h

Last 49 days · High 65% · Low 25% · 7d -26.5pp · 30d -41.9pp

POWL Powell Industries Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.