What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Kenzie be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before Jul 11, 2026?

Kenzie

Closes Jul 11, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 42.9K Open interest 65.0K Event Love Island USA Week 6: Elimination

96%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 5 days · High 96% · Low 72%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for Kenzie's elimination from Love Island USA Season 8 before July 11, 2026, currently shows a YES price of 0.91, indicating a 90% probability that she will be eliminated by the end of Week 6. This assessment is informed by known facts about the show's format and past trends, including the typical elimination pace and the dynamics between contestants. The current price does not reflect any new information or surprises that may occur in the coming days. A significant change in the market price would likely require a dramatic shift in Kenzie's relationships with her fellow islanders or a major twist in the show's storyline.

Generated Jul 08, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
95.0¢	18754	96.0¢	17166
94.0¢	1507	97.0¢	37
92.0¢	27	98.0¢	507
91.0¢	2072	99.0¢	2095
87.0¢	20

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 95.5¢

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.