kalshi Entertainment

Will Tierra be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before Jul 11, 2026?

Tierra
Closes Jul 11, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 80.2K Open interest 84.4K Event Love Island USA Week 6: Elimination
78%
implied YES probability
-7.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 5 days · High 77% · Low 11%
77%11%

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AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 78% probability that Tierra will be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before July 11, 2026. This assessment is informed by known facts about the show's format and past eliminations, as well as current events within the season. The market price may fluctuate based on various factors, including viewer engagement with Tierra's storyline, interactions between her and other contestants, and any dramatic twists or surprises that may occur in the coming days. If Tierra forms strong bonds with her fellow islanders or is involved in a compelling narrative, it could increase the likelihood of her survival and drive the price down. Conversely, if she faces challenges or controversy within the house, it could lead to a higher probability of elimination and push the price up.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
78.0¢ 2718 79.0¢ 6160
77.0¢ 200 80.0¢ 1250
76.0¢ 47 81.0¢ 26
75.0¢ 1000 83.0¢ 120
73.0¢ 450 84.0¢ 438
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 78.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.