What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Zach be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before Jul 11, 2026?

Zach

Closes Jul 11, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 60.3K Open interest 60.1K Event Love Island USA Week 6: Elimination

12%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 5 days · High 75% · Low 11%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing Zach's elimination from Love Island USA Season 8 before July 11, 2026 at a probability of approximately 11%. This assessment is informed by known facts about the show's format and recent trends. The current price reflects the collective opinion of market participants that Zach's chances of being eliminated are relatively low. A significant shift in this assessment would require new information or developments that alter the dynamics of the competition, such as a dramatic change in public perception or an unexpected twist in the game.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
11.0¢	2072	12.0¢	6422
10.0¢	2250	13.0¢	220
8.0¢	20	14.0¢	824
7.0¢	142	15.0¢	385
6.0¢	186	16.0¢	240

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 11.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.