What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 18, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Spain

Closes Jul 18, 2028 (762d) 24h volume 592.3K Open interest 9.8M Event 2026 World Soccer Cup Winner

14%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 18% · Low 14% · 7d -13.9pp · 30d -11.7pp

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 14.1¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.