What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 18, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Portugal

Closes Jul 18, 2028 (762d) 24h volume 1.2M Open interest 14.5M Event 2026 World Soccer Cup Winner

11%

implied YES probability

-0.9pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 12% · Low 7% · 7d +1.9pp · 30d +34.6pp

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 10.8¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.