What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 18, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Norway

Closes Jul 18, 2028 (762d) 24h volume 1.0M Open interest 6.7M Event 2026 World Soccer Cup Winner

implied YES probability

Last 88 days · High 4% · Low 2% · 7d +11.5pp · 30d +38.1pp

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 2.5¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.