kalshi Sports

Will the Senegal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?

Senegal
Closes Jul 18, 2028 (762d) 24h volume 1.1M Open interest 5.3M Event 2026 World Soccer Cup Winner
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 73 days · High 1% · Low 0% · 7d -25.0pp · 30d -25.0pp
1%0%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for the Senegal winning the 2026 Men's World Cup indicates a low likelihood of this outcome, with a current price of 0.01 implying a probability of around 1%. This assessment is based on known facts about Senegal's performance in recent international competitions and their standing within the global soccer community. The market is currently pricing in a significant underdog scenario for Senegal, suggesting that most participants believe other teams have a stronger chance of winning the tournament. Any developments that could improve Senegal's chances, such as key player signings or coaching changes, would likely drive the price up. Conversely, negative news about the team's performance or injuries to key players could cause the price to decline further.
Generated Jun 17, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
0.5¢ 8597 0.6¢ 263214
0.4¢ 13620 0.7¢ 210992
0.3¢ 889021 0.8¢ 10000
0.2¢ 1005000 0.9¢ 24560
0.1¢ 1000 1.0¢ 130107
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.