What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Ben Rice

Closes Dec 08, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 1.4K Open interest 266.0K Event AL MVP Winner?

10%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 53 days · High 14% · Low 3% · 7d -21.4pp · 30d +37.5pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 12.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.