What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 21%, implying a 21% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Nick Kurtz

Closes Dec 08, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 4.4K Open interest 326.6K Event AL MVP Winner?

21%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 41 days · High 22% · Low 2% · 7d +15.8pp · 30d +633.3pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 20.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.