What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Mike Trout

Closes Dec 08, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 2.8K Open interest 168.8K Event AL MVP Winner?

implied YES probability

Last 39 days · High 12% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -66.7pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.