What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above $1.5 trillion

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (175d) 24h volume 33 Open interest 133 Event Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

22%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 41% · Low 15%

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.