What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above $800 billion

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (175d) 24h volume 113 Open interest 1.6K Event Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

76%

implied YES probability

Last 7 days · High 90% · Low 59%

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.