What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Aaron Lukas

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 625 Open interest 55.4K Event Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?

implied YES probability

+1.2pp 24h

Last 26 days · High 36% · Low 2% · 7d -68.8pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 18.5¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.