What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Jay Clayton

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 316 Open interest 27.7K Event Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?

98%

implied YES probability

+2.7pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 96% · Low 93%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.