What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

$6.01 or above

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 3 Open interest 1.2K Event Highest natural gas spot price in 2026

36%

implied YES probability

Last 48 days · High 93% · Low 6% · 7d -10.9pp · 30d -38.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.