What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

$7.01 or above

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 8.7K Event Highest natural gas spot price in 2026

20%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 51 days · High 56% · Low 6% · 7d -61.1pp · 30d -86.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.