kalshi Politics

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Donald Trump
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 1.8K Open interest 232.1K Event 2026 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
6%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 87 days · High 10% · Low 3% · 7d -14.3pp · 30d -14.3pp
10%3%

Other outcomes in this event

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
7.0¢ 208 9.0¢ 15
6.0¢ 655 10.0¢ 548
5.0¢ 8025 11.0¢ 500
4.0¢ 6604 12.0¢ 3358
3.0¢ 11086 13.0¢ 681
Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 8.0¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.