What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 397 Open interest 4.5K Event 2026 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

16%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 41 days · High 22% · Low 8% · 7d +33.3pp · 30d -20.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.