What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Above 249

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 69 Open interest 5.1K Event How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?

6%

implied YES probability

Last 6 days · High 56% · Low 7%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.