What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Jul 9, 2026

Closes Jul 17, 2026 (7d) 24h volume 3.1K Open interest 2.3K Event Will Graham Platner tweet today?

8%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 40% · Low 40%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.