What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Jul 10, 2026

Closes Jul 18, 2026 (8d) 24h volume 915 Open interest 575 Event Will Graham Platner tweet today?

32%

implied YES probability

+31.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 27% · Low 27%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.