What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 314M

Closes Jul 15, 2026 (5d) 24h volume 323 Open interest 269 Event US SPR level for the week ending July 10, 2026

46%

implied YES probability

+46.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.