What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 326M

Closes Jul 15, 2026 (5d) 24h volume 154 Open interest 152 Event US SPR level for the week ending July 10, 2026

2%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 4% · Low 4%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.