What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 63%, implying a 63% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Barack Hussein Obama

Closes Jul 13, 2026 (3d) 24h volume 26.3K Open interest 15.7K Event What will Trump say this week?

63%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 85% · Low 73%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.