What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Sleepy Joe

Closes Jul 08, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 6.3K Open interest 13.1K Event What will Trump say this week?

50%

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 99% · Low 79%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.