kalshi
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Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Jul 13, 2026?
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
50%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 3 days ·
High 99% ·
Low 68%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Trump Returns on Old AF1 Instead of Qatari Jet | Balance of Power: Late Edition 07/08/2026
Bloomberg Politics · 20h ago
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing in a near-certainty that Donald Trump will say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before July 13, 2026. This assessment is informed by known facts about Trump's past behavior and rhetoric surrounding elections. The current price of 0.99 implies a perceived probability of 100% that Trump will make such a statement. Any development that increases the likelihood of Trump making this claim would likely drive the YES price upward, while a decrease in this likelihood could cause the price to fall.
Generated Jul 08, 2026
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