What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

120-139

Closes Jun 21, 2026 (4d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 2.7K Event Trump Truth Social posts this week? (6/14-6/20)

22%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 21% · Low 15%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.