What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

>220

Closes Jun 21, 2026 (4d) 24h volume 540 Open interest 1.7K Event Trump Truth Social posts this week? (6/14-6/20)

4%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 9% · Low 7%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.