What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 73%, implying a 73% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.0%

Closes Nov 06, 2026 (142d) 24h volume 200 Open interest 778 Event Unemployment in October

73%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 86% · Low 73%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.