What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 5%

Closes Jan 08, 2027 (205d) 24h volume 45 Open interest 132.7K Event How high will unemployment get in 2026?

13%

implied YES probability

+1.8pp 24h

Last 89 days · High 52% · Low 12% · 7d +4.0pp · 30d -50.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.