What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 6%

Closes Jan 08, 2027 (205d) 24h volume 39 Open interest 91.6K Event How high will unemployment get in 2026?

implied YES probability

Last 80 days · High 28% · Low 1% · 7d -14.1pp · 30d -38.9pp

Spread 2.5¢ · Mid 16.2¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.