What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

1: Spain / 2: Uruguay / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Saudi Arabia

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (25d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 5.7K Event Group H: Exact Order

14%

implied YES probability

-9.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 29% · Low 21%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.