What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

1: Uruguay / 2: Spain / 3: Cape Verde / 4: Saudi Arabia

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (25d) 24h volume 2.3K Open interest 312 Event Group H: Exact Order

12%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 19% · Low 7%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.