What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 35%, implying a 35% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

By Aug 14, 2026

Closes Aug 14, 2026 (35d) 24h volume — Open interest 742 Event When will oil (WTI) fall below $65?

35%

implied YES probability

Last 13 days · High 94% · Low 25% · 7d -8.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.