What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

By Jul 3, 2026

Closes Jul 03, 2026 (0d) 24h volume — Open interest 3.0K Event When will oil (WTI) fall below $65?

50%

implied YES probability

Last 10 days · High 72% · Low 1% · 7d -88.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.