What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

By Jul 24, 2026

Closes Jul 24, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 2.6K Event When will oil (WTI) fall below $65?

6%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 91% · Low 15% · 7d +46.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.